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THE DYNAMICS OF OIL PRICE VOLATILITY AND ITS IMPACT ON GLOBAL ENERGY TRANSITION: AN ECONOMIC ANALYSIS

Olatokunbo Demola Salami ,
Olatokunbo Demola Salami
Contact Olatokunbo Demola Salami

Economics, Social Science , Lagos State University , Ikeja , Nigeria

Samuel Olasode Olaleye ,
Samuel Olasode Olaleye

Economics, Social Science , Lagos State University , Ikeja , Nigeria

Felix Oluyemi Adekunjo ,
Felix Oluyemi Adekunjo

Economics, Social Science , Lagos State University , Ikeja , Nigeria

Olajide Samuel Gbemisola ,
Olajide Samuel Gbemisola

Economics, Social Science , Lagos State University , Ikeja , Nigeria

Aminat Adeola Ashiru ,
Aminat Adeola Ashiru

Economics, Social Science , Lagos State University , Ikeja , Nigeria

Ivic Mladen
Ivic Mladen

Economics, Business Administration , University of Business Engineering and Management , Bosnia , Bosnia and Herzegovina

Editor: Katarina Miletić

Received: 18.12.2025.

Revised: 18.03.2026.

Accepted: 23.03.2026. >>

Published: 29.05.2026.

Volume 8, Issue 1 (2026)

pp. 1-10;

https://doi.org/10.63395/STEDJournal0801093S1

Abstract

The global energy landscape is undergoing significant transformation due to oil price volatility and the shift toward renewable energy sources. This study examines the economic implications of oil price fluctuations on energy markets, renewable energy investments, and global policies.
Employing econometric models (Vector Autoregression) and case studies, we analyze the interplay between oil price volatility, energy security, and energy transition pace. Findings indicate that oil price shocks exert short-term negative effects on renewable investments but show increasing decoupling in the long term, driven by policy support and technological advancements. The paper offers policy recommendations to mitigate volatility risks and accelerate sustainable energy transitions.

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Author Contributions

Conceptualization, O.D.S.; Data curation, O.D.S. and O.S.G.; Investigation, O.D.S. and A.A.A.; Methodology, O.D.S. and O.S.G.; Supervision, S.O.O., F.O.A. and I.M.; Formal Analysis, O.S.G. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

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All papers are licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License

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